Box EV Calculator

Expected value of opening a container once, vs its cost
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Heavy Treasure Box

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Total EV (open once)
52.3K
Box cost (market)
60.0K
Net per open (loss)
-7,747z
Item Chance Unit Price EV Contribution
Silver Knife of Chastity 2.55% 400.0K 10.2K
Agate 2.55% 190.0K 4,845z
Turquoise 2.55% 190.0K 4,845z
Rose Quartz 2.55% 180.0K 4,590z
Citrin 2.55% 125.0K 3,188z
Muscovite 2.55% 110.0K 2,805z
Tropical Banana 2.55% 100.0K 2,550z
Old Blue Box 5.32% 47.0K 2,500z
Armlet of Obedience 2.55% 75.0K 1,912z
Orc Trophy 2.55% 70.0K 1,785z
Biotite 2.55% 60.0K 1,530z
Elunium 4.68% 27.5K 1,287z
Earthworm the Dude 2.55% 49.0K 1,250z
Book of the Devil 2.55% 49.0K 1,250z
Contract in Shadow 2.55% 45.0K 1,148z
Four Leaf Clover 0.85% 88.0K 748z
Phlogopite 2.55% 28.0K 714z
Shining Stone 2.55% 25.0K 638z
Peridot 2.55% 25.0K 638z
Oridecon 4.68% 13.5K 632z
Well-Dried Bone 2.55% 20.0K 510z
Pyroxene 2.55% 20.0K 510z
Bitter Herb 2.55% 10.0K 255z
Singing Flower 2.55% 10.0K 255z
Monster Juice 2.55% 9,999z 255z
Gold 0.21% 120.0K 252z
Rotten Fish 2.55% 7,000z 178z
Dew Laden Moss 2.55% 5,555z 142z
Orange Juice 2.55% 5,000z 127z
Rainbow Carrot 2.55% 5,000z 127z
Rusty Iron 2.55% 5,000z 127z
Sweet Milk 2.55% 5,000z 127z
Fatty Chubby Earthworm 2.55% 5,000z 127z
Sweet Potato 2.55% 5,000z 127z
Old Broom 2.55% 1,200z 31z
Unripe Apple 2.55% 1,190z 30z
Deadly Noxious Herb 2.55% 631z 16z
No Recipient 2.55% 50z 1z

EV = chance × unit price, summed across contents. Unit price uses market value where available, otherwise NPC sell price. Items with unknown drop chance contribute 0.